DeBriefed 24 October 2025:  EU 2040 climate goal progress; Shipping industry carbon price delayed; Europe’s indigenous people take Finland to court

<p class="has-text-align-center"><em>Welcome to Carbon Brief’s DeBriefed.&nbsp;</em><br /><em>An essential guide to the week&#8217;s key developments relating to climate change.</em></p>

<h1 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>This week</strong></h1>

<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>EU leaders agreed climate goal ‘truce’</strong></h3>

<p><strong>‘BREAKTHROUGH’</strong>: EU leaders have reached a “breakthrough” on climate issues that “increases the likelihood” that the bloc will be able to sign off on its 2040 climate goal before COP30 in November, reported <a href="https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-23/eu-leaders-agree-truce-paving-way-toward-ambitious-climate-goals" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>. Leaders reached a “truce” after agreeing to a raft of “enabling conditions”, designed to support carmakers and other energy-intensive industries through a “green transition”, it added.</p>

<p><strong>‘COMPETING GOALS’</strong>: <a href="https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/cop/eu-leaders-debate-conditions-keeping-up-climate-ambition-2025-10-23/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Reuters</a> reported that leaders agreed “to proceed with the 2040 target, but [to] leave details for ministers to approve at a 4 November meeting”. It added that the European Commission had “promised to amend some climate measures” to win support from member states, including “controlling” carbon prices in the upcoming market for heat and transport fuels. <a href="https://www.france24.com/en/environment/20251024-eu-10-year-carbon-emissions-un-climate-summit" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">France24</a> noted that leaders discussed how to manage the bloc’s “competing goals” of supporting business while playing a “lead role in the climate fight”.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Shipping industry delayed carbon price</strong></h2>

<p><strong>NEGOTIATIONS COLLAPSE: </strong>Just hours after the previous issue of <a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/debriefed-earths-first-tipping-point-climate-adviser-interview-how-warming-affects-childrens-health/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">DeBriefed</a> was published, member states of the UN’s International Maritime Organization agreed to delay a vote on whether to formally adopt a global carbon price for shipping by a year, reported the <a href="https://thenationalnews.com/news/us/2025/10/17/un-shipping-body-delays-global-carbon-price-decision-by-one-year-after-us-pressure/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">National</a>. It said the negotiations “collapsed under US pressure”, meaning they were unable to finalise a deal agreed in April that would have “made shipping the first global industry subject to a carbon pricing system”. [<a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/qa-nations-agree-carbon-pricing-system-to-steer-shipping-towards-net-zero/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Carbon Brief</a> covered the deal and what it would have meant for shipping emissions at the time.]</p>

<p><strong>‘MAJOR VICTORY’:</strong> The <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/02936596-a403-4d02-aef6-1ed89deee984" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Financial Times</a> described the delay as a “major victory” for US president Donald Trump’s “campaign to block a climate agreement for the global shipping industry” and “part of the wider Trump administration drive to sell more of its oil, coal and gas”. According to <a href="https://www.barrons.com/news/delay-on-global-deal-to-decarbonize-ships-a-missed-opportunity-un-spokesman-9934f49d" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Agence France-Presse</a>, the UN called the delay a “missed opportunity” and the European Commission said it was “regrettable”</p>

<p><strong>‘REGRETABLE DERAILMENT’</strong>: A <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/b2487eca-c319-4200-b14e-1fde9a19b80e" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Financial Times</a> editorial said the outcome was a “regrettable derailment” and “one of Trump’s most successful attempts yet to force all countries, rich and poor, to back his push to prolong the era of fossil fuels”. Elsewhere, US secretary of state Marco Rubio wrote a letter to the <a href="https://www.wsj.com/opinion/marco-rubio-how-we-thwarted-the-un-tax-global-carbon-45f78623" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>, outlining how the administration had “thwarted the UN’s tax”, dubbing the delay a “diplomatic victory” for the US. </p>

<h1 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Around the world</strong></h1>

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<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>DISASTER ALERTS</strong>: A new report from the UN’s World Meteorological Organization has called for a worldwide disaster alerts system as extreme weather events are leaving millions of people vulnerable, reported <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/10/20/un-pushes-for-worldwide-disaster-alerts-as-extreme-weather-spirals" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Al Jazeera</a>. </li>

<li><strong>FOREST FUND</strong>: The World Bank has agreed to host the Tropical Forest Forever Fund (TFFF), being pushed by the Brazilian COP30 presidency Brazil, according to <a href="https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/ambiente/2025/10/banco-mundial-aprova-fundo-de-florestas-trunfo-do-brasil-para-a-cop30.shtml" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Folha de São Paulo</a>. Separately, the country’s state-owned oil company Petrobras has been granted permission to drill for oil near the mouth of the Amazon, reported the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/oct/20/brazil-greenlights-oil-drilling-amazon" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Guardian</a>. </li>

<li><strong>‘GREEN JOBS’</strong>: The UK government announced a national <a href="https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/clean-energy-jobs-plan/clean-energy-jobs-plan-html" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">clean-energy jobs plan</a>, designed to “create…an extra 400,000 green jobs” in the next five years, the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/oct/19/government-aims-to-create-400000-jobs-through-uk-national-green-energy-plan" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Guardian</a> said. Meanwhile, UK prime minister Keir Starmer made a “last-minute decision” to attend COP30 in Brazil in November, the <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/d80da14b-ce6c-4021-bacb-1a485b5f1251" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Financial Times</a> reported. </li>

<li><strong>‘BEAUTIFUL CHINA’</strong>: After a meeting in Beijing, top Chinese policymakers have listed &#8220;building a Beautiful China” as a “primary objective” for the 15th <a href="https://interactive.carbonbrief.org/glossary/china/index.html#section-five-year-plan" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">five-year plan covering 2026-2030,</a> said <a href="https://newenergy.in-en.com/html/newenergy-2445500.shtml" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">International Energy Net</a>. The concept, described in <a href="https://interactive.carbonbrief.org/glossary/china/index.html#section-beautiful-china" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Carbon Brief’s glossary</a>, covers tackling pollution and meeting China&#8217;s carbon neutrality targets..</li>
</ul>

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<h1 class="wp-block-heading has-text-align-center"><strong>$101bn </strong></h1>

<p class="has-text-align-center">The record-high cost of “climate disasters” in the US in the first half of 2025, according to new research from the Climate Central group reported by the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/oct/22/climate-disasters-2025-cost" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Guardian</a>. </p>

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<h1 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Latest climate research</strong></h1>

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<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Between 1997 and 2021, Antarctic ice shelves saw a decrease in “damaged area” | <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02453-4" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Nature Climate Change</a></li>

<li>Reducing food waste and dietary shifts could help halve emissions related to meat consumption in US cities | <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02450-7" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Nature Climate Change</a></li>

<li>In an “<a href="https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/1809/2025/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">overshoot</a>” scenario, where the world temporarily passes 1.5C of warming, permafrost area may “effectively recover” once temperatures fall, but carbon losses will be “largely irreversible” | <a href="https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/1809/2025/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Earth System Dynamics</a></li>
</ul>

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<p>(For more, see Carbon Brief’s in-depth daily summaries of the top climate news stories on <a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/daily-brief/shipping-deal-delayed-uk-to-create-400000-green-jobs-rare-earth-delusion/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Monday</a>, <a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/daily-brief/extreme-weather-spirals-china-wind-boost-starmer-to-attend-cop30/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Tuesday</a>, <a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/daily-brief/us-qatar-threaten-eu-coals-record-2024-antidote-to-despair/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Wednesday</a>, <a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/daily-brief/methane-cut-too-slowly-russian-oil-sanctions-eu-debates-2040-goal/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Thursday</a> and <a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/daily-brief/eu-leaders-truce-totalenergies-misled-consumers-drilling-plan-for-pristine-alaska/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Friday</a>.)</p>

<h1 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Captured</strong></h1>

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<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img alt="More forest is being lost than gained around the world each year" class="wp-image-59660" height="1226" src="https://www.carbonbrief.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Screenshot-2025-10-24-at-12.45.56.png" width="2122" /></figure>

<p>The amount of forest being lost around the world has reduced by millions of hectares each year in recent decades, <a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/un-report-five-charts-showing-how-global-deforestation-is-declining/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Carbon Brief </a>reported, based on the <a href="https://www.fao.org/forest-resources-assessment" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Global Forest Resources Assessment</a> from the UN’s <a href="https://www.fao.org/home/en" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Food and Agriculture Organization</a>. The report found that an estimated 10.9m hectares (Mha) of land was deforested each year between 2015 and 2025, nearly 7Mha less than the annual loss over 1990-2000. However, as the map above shows, more forest is still lost than gained each year. Between 2015 and 2025, there was an average 6.8Mha of forest growth each year, but 10.9Mha of loss. </p>

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<h1 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Spotlight</strong></h1>

<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>The Sámi people take Finland to court</strong></h3>

<p><em>This week, Carbon Brief reports on the launch of a “</em><a href="https://www.hoganlovells.com/en/news/hogan-lovells-advises-sami-reindeer-herding-community-in-landmark-climate-and-indigenous-rights-complaint-to-united-nations" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank"><em>landmark</em></a><em>” legal claim by the Indigenous Sámi people against the government of Finland, focused on the interplay between climate change and cultural traditions.</em></p>

<p>In June, 33 members of the Muddusjärvi Reindeer Herders’ Cooperative (MPLK), a Sámi community in northern Finland, brought a legal <a href="https://www.climatecasechart.com/document/muddusjarvi-reindeer-herders-cooperative-v-finland_552a" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">complaint</a> to the <a href="https://www.ohchr.org/en/treaty-bodies/ccpr" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">UN human rights committee </a>in Geneva. </p>

<p>It alleged that the Finnish government had allowed multiple breaches of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR), which sets out the right to enjoy one’s culture, family life, non-discrimination and self-determination.</p>

<p>The MPLK has practised “<a href="https://www.hoganlovells.com/en/news/hogan-lovells-advises-sami-reindeer-herding-community-in-landmark-climate-and-indigenous-rights-complaint-to-united-nations" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">nature-based </a>Sámi reindeer herding” for centuries in Finland, as part of one of three remaining herding communities that use the endangered Inari Sámi language. The Sámi are the only Indigenous people <a href="https://ec.europa.eu/regional_policy/whats-new/newsroom/15-09-2023-smart-regions-eu-funds-help-sami-people-preserve-their-traditions_en" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">recognised</a> in Europe.</p>

<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img alt="A Reindeer Rangifer tarandus in the snow in Finnish Laplan. " class="wp-image-59676" height="683" src="https://www.carbonbrief.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/CF1HBT.jpg" width="1024" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">A Reindeer Rangifer tarandus in the snow in Finnish Laplan. Credit: Richard Tadman / <a href="https://www.alamy.com/stock-photo-reindeer-rangifer-tarandus-in-the-snow-in-finnish-lapland-43676188.html" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Alamy Stock Photo </a></figcaption></figure>

<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Changing conditions</h3>

<p>Within its complaint, the MPLK  said it is being dispossessed from land traditionally used for reindeer herding, as a result of <a href="https://news.mongabay.com/2025/10/climate-change-puts-pressure-on-reindeer-populations-both-wild-domestic-herds/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">climate change</a> and decades of intensive <a href="https://news.mongabay.com/2025/10/climate-change-puts-pressure-on-reindeer-populations-both-wild-domestic-herds/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">logging</a> by the Finnish state-owned forestry agency Metsähallitus. These have “<a href="https://www.hoganlovells.com/en/news/hogan-lovells-advises-sami-reindeer-herding-community-in-landmark-climate-and-indigenous-rights-complaint-to-united-nations" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">severely damaged</a>” the land they depend on, the group’s lawyers Hogan Lovells said. </p>

<p>In particular, the <a href="https://www.thebarentsobserver.com/news/finland-faces-un-complaint-over-climate-change-inaction-and-impact-on-sami-traditions/438602" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">loss</a> of lichen-rich, old-growth forests and changes to snow conditions have made it harder for reindeer to access natural food sources, creating an “existential threat” that “places in jeopardy the viability of the MPLK community’s way of life”, according to the complaint.</p>

<p>While there are <a href="https://www.thebarentsobserver.com/news/finland-faces-un-complaint-over-climate-change-inaction-and-impact-on-sami-traditions/438602" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">additional funds</a> provided by the Finnish government to compensate reindeer herders during harsh winters, this does not go far enough, the MPLK argued. For example, herders lost <a href="https://www.thebarentsobserver.com/news/finland-faces-un-complaint-over-climate-change-inaction-and-impact-on-sami-traditions/438602" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">€32m</a> between 2019 and 2020, but the MPLK only received €6m in compensation. </p>

<p>There have already been a <a href="https://grist.org/global-indigenous-affairs-desk/un-backs-sami-fight-over-land-finland/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">number of lawsuits</a> brought by the Sámi people across the Nordic countries, in an effort to protect their lands and traditions. </p>

<p>This includes the <a href="https://grist.org/global-indigenous-affairs-desk/norway-to-pay-sami-reindeer-herders-millions-for-violating-their-human-rights/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Norwegian</a> government having to pay out millions to Sámi reindeer herders, an ongoing case in <a href="https://grist.org/indigenous/sweden-sami-unesco-world-heritage-indigenous-rights-iron-mine/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Sweden</a> and two UN committees finding that <a href="https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2024/10/finland-must-respect-rights-sami-indigenous-people-traditional-lands-un" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Finland</a> had violated Sámi rights to culture and land through mineral exploration permits on their territory. </p>

<h3 class="wp-block-heading">A new precedent</h3>

<p>For the MPLK case, Hogan Lovells are relying on a <a href="https://www.climatecasechart.com/document/daniel-billy-and-others-v-australia-torres-strait-islanders-petition_191e" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">precedent</a> set at the committee in 2022 in a case brought by an indigenous group in Australia, whereby the government was ordered to compensate Torres Straits islanders who argued that climate change had a direct harmful consequence on their livelihood, culture and traditional ways of life. </p>

<p>Finnish human rights law professor and human rights practitioner <a href="https://www.eui.eu/people?id=martin-scheinin" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Martin Scheinin</a> was involved in that case and is now co-counsel for the MPLK complaint. He told Carbon Brief that he had been “thrilled” by the 2022 outcome:  </p>

<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>“The [UN committee] broke [a] new path by focusing on Australia’s adaptation obligations as positive human rights obligations. As the committee also established that the right of minorities and Indigenous peoples to enjoy their own culture includes the right to transmit a distinctive way of life to new and even future generations, it was natural that the Indigenous Sámi people in Finland…want to build upon all these elements in their own case before the same committee.”</p>
</blockquote>

<p>A <a href="https://www.hoganlovells.com/en/news/hogan-lovells-advises-sami-reindeer-herding-community-in-landmark-climate-and-indigenous-rights-complaint-to-united-nations" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">formal response</a> from the Finnish government to the complaint is expected this month. </p>

<h1 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Watch, read, listen</strong></h1>

<p><strong>INDONESIA’S ‘ENERGY PARADOX’: </strong>A new episode of the <a href="https://chinaglobalsouth.com/podcasts/china-indonesia-energy-transition-coal-renewables/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">China-Global South Podcast </a>discussed how China sits at the heart of Indonesia’s “energy paradox”. </p>

<p><strong>‘RARE-EARTHS TRAP’: </strong>Simon Nixon, former chief leader writer for the Times, wrote on his <a href="https://nixons.substack.com/p/how-the-west-was-lost" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Substack</a> about how the “west lost” to China, after the country “spent decades laying its rare-earths trap”. </p>

<p><strong>ANIMAL OBSTRUCTION</strong>: The latest episode of the <a href="https://drilled.media/podcasts/drilled/14/s14-ep07" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Drilled</a> podcast discussed how the animal agriculture industry has – and still does – “obstruct…climate policy”. </p>

<h1 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Coming up</strong></h1>

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<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>28 October</strong>: <a href="https://unfccc.int/ndc-3.0" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">NDC 3.0 synthesis report</a></li>

<li><strong>28 October</strong>: <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elections_in_Tanzania">Tanzania</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Tanzanian_general_election" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">presidential and parliament</a> elections</li>

<li><strong>29 October</strong>: <a href="https://www.unep.org/resources/adaptation-gap-report" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">UNEP Adaptation Gap Report 2025</a> </li>

<li><strong>29 October</strong>: <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elections_in_the_Netherlands" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Netherlands</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Dutch_general_election" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">parliamentary</a> elections</li>

<li><strong>29 October</strong>: UK’s “carbon budget delivery plan”</li>
</ul>

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<h1 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Pick of the jobs</strong></h1>

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<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Imperial College London</strong>, <a href="https://www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPC776/project-manager" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">project manager</a> | Salary: £41,005-£45,616pa. Location: London, England. </li>

<li><strong>UN Food and Agriculture Organization</strong>, <a href="https://jobs.fao.org/careersection/fao_external/jobdetail.ftl?lang=en&amp;job=2502541" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">policy officer (environment and climate change)</a> | Salary: Unknown. Location: Santiago, Chile</li>

<li><strong>Nature Energy</strong>, <a href="https://www.nature.com/naturecareers/job/12847057/associate-or-senior-editor-nature-energy" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">associate or senior editor</a> | Salary: $80,000-$95,000. Location: New York, US. </li>

<li><strong>EBRD</strong>, <a href="https://jobs.ebrd.com/job/London-Analyst%2C-Climate-Risk/1259197301/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">analyst, climate risk</a> | Salary: Unknown. Location: London, England. </li>

<li><strong>Local Storytelling Exchange</strong>, <a href="https://localstoryexchange.org/about/work-for-us/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">freelance associate storytellers</a> | Salary: £12,000 for 60 days. Location: Wales.</li>
</ul>

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<p class="has-text-align-center"><em>DeBriefed is edited by Daisy Dunne. Please send any tips or feedback to </em><a href="mailto:[email protected]" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank"><em>[email protected]</em></a>.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-center"><em>This is an online version of Carbon Brief’s weekly DeBriefed email newsletter. Subscribe for&nbsp;<a href="https://subscribe.carbonbrief.org/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">free here.</a></em></p>

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<a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/debriefed-3-october-2025-uk-political-gap-on-climate-widens-fossil-fuelled-typhoon-ragasa-overshoot-unknowns/"><img src="https://www.carbonbrief.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/debriefed_HERO_BLANK-1550x1033-1-300x200.png" /></a>

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<p class="text-header-s content"><a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/debriefed-3-october-2025-uk-political-gap-on-climate-widens-fossil-fuelled-typhoon-ragasa-overshoot-unknowns/">DeBriefed 3 October 2025: UK political gap on climate widens; Fossil-fuelled Typhoon Ragasa; ‘Overshoot’ unknowns</a></p>
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<p class="text-tag-s">DeBriefed</p>
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<p class="text-tag-meta">03.10.25</p>
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<a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/debriefed-26-september-2025-china-leads-new-climate-pledges-trump-calls-warming-a-con-job-what-comes-next/"><img src="https://www.carbonbrief.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/debriefed_HERO_BLANK-300x200.png" /></a>

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<p class="text-header-s content"><a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/debriefed-26-september-2025-china-leads-new-climate-pledges-trump-calls-warming-a-con-job-what-comes-next/">DeBriefed 26 September 2025: China leads new climate pledges; Trump calls warming a ‘con job’; What comes next</a></p>
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<p class="text-tag-s">DeBriefed</p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/debriefed-24-october-2025-eu-2040-climate-goal-progress-shipping-industry-carbon-price-delayed-europes-indigenous-people-take-finland-to-court/">DeBriefed 24 October 2025:  EU 2040 climate goal progress; Shipping industry carbon price delayed; Europe’s indigenous people take Finland to court</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org">Carbon Brief</a>.</p>